Program Evaluation Officer
A program evaluation officer in Kenya plans and executes systematic evaluations of community interventions, educational initiatives, public health programs, and social welfare schemes. Operating within non governmental organizations, philanthropic trusts, international donor foundations, and social enterprises in Nairobi, Nakuru, and Kakamega, these evaluators assess program relevance, effectiveness, efficiency, impact, and sustainability. They ensure development interventions achieve verified outcomes and generate actionable insights for donors and community partners.
The short answer
- Will AI take it
- 50 out of 100, moderate exposure. About 30% of the tasks still need a person.The detail
- Is anyone hiring
- Hiring is growing, with net demand +15% over 2026 to 2030.The detail
- What it pays
- Starts around KES 48k a month and reaches KES 260k at senior level.The detail
- How to get in
- KCSE C+ (Bachelor Degree) is the usual minimum, and 8 courses in the catalogue lead to it. About 8 years to a lead role.The detail
The role
What the work is, what it pays, and what it asks of you.
Overview
In Kenya, program evaluations adhere to standard international evaluation criteria developed by the OECD Development Assistance Committee and national guidelines from the State Department for Economic Planning. Officers possess degrees in development studies, project management, sociology, economics, or applied statistics from Kenyan universities. They utilize mixed methods research combining household sample surveys, key informant interviews, participatory focus groups, outcome harvesting workshops, and randomized control trials. In the Kenyan context, practitioners must adhere to national statutory frameworks and industry best practices established by relevant regulatory authorities. Employers increasingly prioritize candidates who demonstrate verified technical qualifications, continuous professional development, and practical field competence.
The role requires strong analytical objectivity, survey design precision, and persuasive stakeholder communication. Evaluators ensure that multi million shilling development grants produce demonstrable social change and that lessons learned are integrated into future project designs. They author comprehensive baseline, midterm, and endline evaluation reports that influence policy and resource allocations. Career progression leads to Senior Evaluation Manager, Head of Learning and Impact, or International Development Consultant. Career advancement in Kenya typically rewards demonstrated operational reliability, enabling experienced professionals to transition into senior supervisory, quality assurance, or independent technical consulting roles.
Work environment
- Work environment
- Hybrid
- Work style
- Collaborative
- Physical demands
- Low
- Travel
- Occasional
- Remote working
- On-site / field
- Freelance potential
- High
A day in the role
You arrive at eight in the morning at the regional country office of a child nutrition non profit in Westlands, Nairobi, finalizing the evaluation inception report for a five year school feeding program in Samburu County. You review evaluation questions and data collection instruments alongside project implementation teams. You coordinate closely with cross functional colleagues to align on immediate deliverables, double checking equipment readiness and standard operating protocols. Regular operational alignment meetings help synchronize daily priorities across organizational units.
In the afternoon, you analyze quantitative endline survey data from six hundred households using SPSS, comparing nutritional outcomes between intervention and control communities. You draft an evaluation findings presentation highlighting programmatic successes and structural supply chain bottlenecks. Before completing the shift, you reconcile physical logs, review operational checklists with the oncoming team, and brief project supervisors on task completion. You update digital handover logs, archive incident reports, and prepare priority action items for the morning team.
What it pays
Kenyan market salary bands, monthly in KES- Entry level
- KES 48k – 75k
- Mid-level specialist
- KES 85k – 145k
- Senior / lead
- KES 160k – 260k
Monthly pay in Kenyan shillings, rounded to the nearest thousand. The shaded band is the distance between entry and senior pay, which is the part that is changing. These are projections, not observations.
The trade-offs
| In its favour | Against it |
|---|---|
| Strong demand and career viability across major bilateral donors, UN organizations, and global development research centers. | Extensive field travel across remote marginalized counties and refugee settlement complexes under basic living conditions. |
| Methodological autonomy designing rigorous evaluation frameworks and spearheading independent field investigation teams. | Rigid contract delivery timelines tied to annual donor reporting deadlines and strict multi-year grant disbursement schedules. |
| Deep exposure to cutting-edge randomized controlled trials (RCTs), econometric quasi-experiments, and international research publications. | High likelihood of pushback from project leadership when independent evaluation reports reveal unmet objectives or limited program efficacy. |
In practice
Program Evaluation Officers assess social and development interventions across Kenya, measuring impact against international benchmarks to guide future investments.
Core duties involve conducting empathetic qualitative interviews with vulnerable community beneficiaries, navigating organizational sensitivities when presenting critical evaluation findings to leadership, and facilitating participatory learning workshops that convert evaluation findings into actionable improvements.
Primary employment opportunities exist at Innovations for Poverty Action (IPA Kenya), Amref Health Africa, World Vision Kenya, and Aga Khan Development Network (AKDN Kenya) as well as major sector organizations across Kenya.
Project Evaluator, Development Impact Specialist, Monitoring and Evaluation Analyst.
Exposure
How much of this a machine can already do, and how that was determined.
Where this rating sits
3,562 rated careers| Score | Careers |
|---|---|
| 0 to 4 | 29 |
| 5 to 9 | 22 |
| 10 to 14 | 116 |
| 15 to 19 | 290 |
| 20 to 24 | 542 |
| 25 to 29 | 297 |
| 30 to 34 | 305 |
| 35 to 39 | 195 |
| 40 to 44 | 253 |
| 45 to 49 | 279 |
| 50 to 54 | 264 |
| 55 to 59 | 156 |
| 60 to 64 | 101 |
| 65 to 69 | 130 |
| 70 to 74 | 128 |
| 75 to 79 | 151 |
| 80 to 84 | 163 |
| 85 to 89 | 86 |
| 90 to 94 | 54 |
| 95 to 99 | 1 |
Rated above 68% of the 3,562 careers in the catalogue, which averages 43. Inside social sciences the mean is 41, across 141 careers.
What the rating is made of
Share of recorded tasks- Machine does it50%
- Software can already complete this work end to end.
- Machine assists20%
- A person still decides, but the drafting is done for them.
- Person does it30%
- Judgement, relationships and accountability that do not transfer.
Named task by task
Already automated
- Automated text analysis of open ended qualitative beneficiary responses
- Algorithmic balance checking and matching between intervention and control groups
- Automated drafting of standard evaluation report structures and indicator matrices
- Machine learning identification of key success factors across historic program evaluations
Still human
- Conducting empathetic qualitative interviews with vulnerable community beneficiaries
- Navigating organizational sensitivities when presenting critical evaluation findings to leadership
- Facilitating participatory learning workshops that convert evaluation findings into actionable improvements
- Evaluating subtle cultural and contextual factors that influenced program outcomes
| Already automated | Still human |
|---|---|
| Automated text analysis of open ended qualitative beneficiary responses | Conducting empathetic qualitative interviews with vulnerable community beneficiaries |
| Algorithmic balance checking and matching between intervention and control groups | Navigating organizational sensitivities when presenting critical evaluation findings to leadership |
| Automated drafting of standard evaluation report structures and indicator matrices | Facilitating participatory learning workshops that convert evaluation findings into actionable improvements |
| Machine learning identification of key success factors across historic program evaluations | Evaluating subtle cultural and contextual factors that influenced program outcomes |
Your skills, sorted
12 skills recordedBeing absorbed
- Manual paper record filing
- Routine ledger calculation
- Basic repetitive equipment logging
Worth more with the tools
- Diagnostic telemetry interpretation
- Compliance schedule management
- Resource utilization tracking
Holding their value
- Complex hands-on technical troubleshooting
- Emergency crisis management and physical safety interventions
- Direct client and regulatory stakeholder negotiation
The six things it was scored on
0 to 100 each- Regulatory stakeslowers exposure
- 85
- Physical presencelowers exposure
- 80
- People and inventionlowers exposure
- 75
- Digital surfaceraises exposure
- 45
- Routine intensityraises exposure
- 40
- Rule bound thinkingraises exposure
- 35
Where a named person has to carry the liability.
Work that has to happen in a place, with hands.
Work that needs trust, persuasion or an original idea.
How much of the work already happens inside software.
How much of it repeats in the same shape each time.
Decisions that follow a procedure rather than a judgement.
Task counts
- Tasks recorded
- 20
- Automatable now
- 3
- Still human
- 12
- Displacing
- Manual paperwork processing and legacy ledger tracking,Repetitive routine data entry and transcription,Basic visual verification of standard process inputs
- Augmenting
- Operational metric monitoring and diagnostic anomaly flagging,Automated drafting of routine compliance logs and operational filings,Resource scheduling and preventative maintenance timing
- Creating
- Specialized program evaluation officer systems auditing and digital workflow supervision,Integration of predictive telemetry into daily program evaluation officer workflows,Continuous quality verification of automated domain tools
Sources
Behind the ratingGetting in
The routes into the role, credentials, and tools required.
What to study
8 courses- Certificate in Marriage and Family TherapyKsh 36,000a year
- Certificate in Sciences of Human DevelopmentKsh 36,000a year
- Certificate in International RelationsKsh 36,500a year
- Certificate in Peace, Security and ConflictKsh 36,500a year
- Diploma in Development Studies and Project ManagementKsh 50,000a year
- Diploma in Peace and Conflict StudiesKsh 54,000a year
- Certificate in Development StudiesKsh 59,000a year
- Certificate in CriminologyKsh 60,000a year
How people get in
Bachelor of Arts in Development Studies, Project Management, or Sociology
4 yearsMedium cost
Degree covering project lifecycle planning, social research methodologies, development theory, and community engagement.
Postgraduate Diploma in Monitoring and Program Evaluation
1 yearMedium cost
Specialized qualification focusing on evaluation methodologies, mixed methods research, and donor reporting systems.
Industry certifications
2 verified credentialsExecutive Certificate in Impact Evaluation
Innovations for Poverty Action / J-PAL AfricaKsh 65,0004 months
Certified Professional in Program Evaluation (CPPE)
Evaluation Society of Kenya / Amref International UniversityKsh 40,0003 months
Tools of the trade
5 core toolchains- SurveyCTO
Computer-Assisted Personal Interviewing & Field AuditEssentialPaid
- Stata
Econometric & Quasi-Experimental Impact AnalysisEssentialPaid
- R
Statistical Computing & Causal ModelingRecommendedFree
- Dedoose
Mixed-Methods Qualitative Interview CodingRecommendedPaid
- Microsoft Excel
Data Cleaning & Indicator TrackingEssentialPaid
Who hires
5 verified employersInterview preparation
3 curated questionsHow do you control for selection bias when conducting an impact evaluation of an agricultural grant program in Western Kenya where random assignment was not feasible?
TechnicalSenior
Discuss quasi-experimental designs: Propensity Score Matching (PSM), Difference-in-Differences (DID) with parallel trends verification, or Regression Discontinuity Design (RDD), explaining identifying assumptions, common support diagnostics, and unobserved confounding risks.
An implementing NGO partner refuses your evaluation team access to beneficiary rosters citing data confidentiality concerns. How do you resolve this?
SituationalMid
Cite grant agreement contractual evaluation clauses, execute formal Data Protection Agreements under the Kenya Data Protection Act 2019, anonymize identifying personal data, and request mediation from the donor mission director.
Tell us about a time an endline evaluation demonstrated that a flagship five-year program failed to yield statistically significant impact.
BehaviouralMid
Explain delivering the evidence with clarity and tact, analyzing implementation bottlenecks (e.g. fidelity failures, macroeconomic shocks), framing findings as critical institutional learning, and outlining actionable adjustments.
Common misconceptions
Program evaluation is simply another name for day-to-day project progress monitoring.
Monitoring tracks daily activity outputs, whereas program evaluation scientifically determines attribution, causality, cost-effectiveness, and long-term systemic impact using counterfactual comparison groups.
Qualitative beneficiary testimonials alone are adequate to demonstrate project impact to international donors.
Rigorous evaluation mandates robust mixed-methods research integrating statistically powered survey samples, panel data, and triangulated qualitative depth.
Professional bodies & associations
- Evaluation Society of Kenya (ESK)
- African Evaluation Association (AfrEA)
- American Evaluation Association (AEA)
- Kenya Institute of Management (KIM)
What happens next
How the role evolves from here, and where it leads.
How the role changes
2026 to 2030The program evaluation officer profession in Kenya will retain its foundational technical and physical responsibilities while absorbing digital diagnostics that eliminate manual paperwork burdens.
- 2026already here
Adoption of digital operational tracking across major Kenyan industrial facilities.
- 2027projected
Mandatory integration of computerized asset management systems in county and state projects.
- 2028projected
Automated compliance checks become standard in annual regulatory assessments.
- 2030projected
Digital fluency becomes a universal prerequisite for certified practitioner licensing.
The near term
By 2028Medium
Digital tooling optimizes routine documentation while core technical execution remains vital.
- Tasks automated by 2028
- 12%
- Practitioners augmented
- 28%
- Displacement risk
- 5%
- New roles created
- 8%
- Deployment of automated sensors and digital logs in major facilities
- Standardization of digital reporting for statutory compliance audits
- Increased integration of mobile and cloud analytics for site operations
Market outlook
- Net demand, 2026 to 2030
- +15%
- Demand
- 80 of 100
- Supply pressure
- 45 of 100
- Balance
- Shortage
- Expansion of national infrastructure and commercial investments under Kenya Vision 2030
- Stringent statutory standards necessitating certified practitioners
- Adoption of modernized operational frameworks requiring specialized technical oversight
- Cyclical budgetary constraints across public and private infrastructure procurement
- Delays in public sector payroll disbursements and promotional reviews
- Capital expenditure limits on state of the art equipment upgrades
How to stay ahead
Formulate evaluation terms of reference aligned with OECD-DAC evaluation criteria (relevance, coherence, effectiveness, efficiency, impact, sustainability).
Calculate statistical power parameters and sample size allocations across treatment and control clusters in Stata.
Script mobile survey protocols in SurveyCTO with high-frequency automated data audit algorithms.
Supervise enumerator field teams during baseline and endline household survey sweeps across target counties.
Estimate causal program effects using difference-in-differences and propensity score matching algorithms.
What to learn
- Digital operational diagnostics and telemetry systems
- Statutory compliance reporting and occupational safety protocols
- Data literacy and computerized maintenance management software
- Cross-functional communication and emergency response leadership
- Sustainable energy efficiency and green operations standards
AI tools worth knowing
Predictive Maintenance Telemetry
Priority: Essential
Anomaly detection and machinery health monitoring
Computerized Maintenance Management System
Priority: Recommended
Work order scheduling and inventory tracking
Digital Compliance Audit Dashboard
Priority: Recommended
Statutory regulatory reporting synthesis
Generative Technical Summarizer
Priority: Optional
Drafting operational handover logs
Kenyan market notes
Kenya's prominent status as the regional coordination center for global development organizations, philanthropic foundations, and bilateral donors creates robust employment opportunities for program evaluation officers. Organizations increasingly demand rigorous third party evaluation evidence to justify continued funding from overseas donors. Positions offer competitive salaries, international travel allowances, and strong professional credibility. Employment opportunities concentrate in major industrial and commercial hubs including Nairobi, Mombasa, Kisumu, and Nakuru, with expanding demand across county infrastructure initiatives. Remuneration varies considerably between commercial enterprises and public sector schemes of service, with seasoned practitioners securing competitive shift allowances and performance bonuses.