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Social Sciences

Program Evaluation Officer

A program evaluation officer in Kenya plans and executes systematic evaluations of community interventions, educational initiatives, public health programs, and social welfare schemes. Operating within non governmental organizations, philanthropic trusts, international donor foundations, and social enterprises in Nairobi, Nakuru, and Kakamega, these evaluators assess program relevance, effectiveness, efficiency, impact, and sustainability. They ensure development interventions achieve verified outcomes and generate actionable insights for donors and community partners.

AI exposure
50/100
Moderate exposure
Monthly pay
KES 48k – 260k
Kenyan market salary band
Hiring outlook
Growing
Annual hiring trajectory
Future proof
50/100
Exposed

The short answer

Will AI take it
50 out of 100, moderate exposure. About 30% of the tasks still need a person.The detail
Is anyone hiring
Hiring is growing, with net demand +15% over 2026 to 2030.The detail
What it pays
Starts around KES 48k a month and reaches KES 260k at senior level.The detail
How to get in
KCSE C+ (Bachelor Degree) is the usual minimum, and 8 courses in the catalogue lead to it. About 8 years to a lead role.The detail

The role

What the work is, what it pays, and what it asks of you.

Overview

In Kenya, program evaluations adhere to standard international evaluation criteria developed by the OECD Development Assistance Committee and national guidelines from the State Department for Economic Planning. Officers possess degrees in development studies, project management, sociology, economics, or applied statistics from Kenyan universities. They utilize mixed methods research combining household sample surveys, key informant interviews, participatory focus groups, outcome harvesting workshops, and randomized control trials. In the Kenyan context, practitioners must adhere to national statutory frameworks and industry best practices established by relevant regulatory authorities. Employers increasingly prioritize candidates who demonstrate verified technical qualifications, continuous professional development, and practical field competence.

The role requires strong analytical objectivity, survey design precision, and persuasive stakeholder communication. Evaluators ensure that multi million shilling development grants produce demonstrable social change and that lessons learned are integrated into future project designs. They author comprehensive baseline, midterm, and endline evaluation reports that influence policy and resource allocations. Career progression leads to Senior Evaluation Manager, Head of Learning and Impact, or International Development Consultant. Career advancement in Kenya typically rewards demonstrated operational reliability, enabling experienced professionals to transition into senior supervisory, quality assurance, or independent technical consulting roles.

Work environment

Work environment
Hybrid
Work style
Collaborative
Physical demands
Low
Travel
Occasional
Remote working
On-site / field
Freelance potential
High

A day in the role

You arrive at eight in the morning at the regional country office of a child nutrition non profit in Westlands, Nairobi, finalizing the evaluation inception report for a five year school feeding program in Samburu County. You review evaluation questions and data collection instruments alongside project implementation teams. You coordinate closely with cross functional colleagues to align on immediate deliverables, double checking equipment readiness and standard operating protocols. Regular operational alignment meetings help synchronize daily priorities across organizational units.

In the afternoon, you analyze quantitative endline survey data from six hundred households using SPSS, comparing nutritional outcomes between intervention and control communities. You draft an evaluation findings presentation highlighting programmatic successes and structural supply chain bottlenecks. Before completing the shift, you reconcile physical logs, review operational checklists with the oncoming team, and brief project supervisors on task completion. You update digital handover logs, archive incident reports, and prepare priority action items for the morning team.

What it pays

Kenyan market salary bands, monthly in KES
Entry level
KES 48k – 75k
Mid-level specialist
KES 85k – 145k
Senior / lead
KES 160k – 260k
Salary slope projection (2026 to 2030)
2026entry to senior: 3.4x 3.5x2030

Monthly pay in Kenyan shillings, rounded to the nearest thousand. The shaded band is the distance between entry and senior pay, which is the part that is changing. These are projections, not observations.

The trade-offs

In its favourAgainst it
Strong demand and career viability across major bilateral donors, UN organizations, and global development research centers.Extensive field travel across remote marginalized counties and refugee settlement complexes under basic living conditions.
Methodological autonomy designing rigorous evaluation frameworks and spearheading independent field investigation teams.Rigid contract delivery timelines tied to annual donor reporting deadlines and strict multi-year grant disbursement schedules.
Deep exposure to cutting-edge randomized controlled trials (RCTs), econometric quasi-experiments, and international research publications.High likelihood of pushback from project leadership when independent evaluation reports reveal unmet objectives or limited program efficacy.

In practice

Program Evaluation Officers assess social and development interventions across Kenya, measuring impact against international benchmarks to guide future investments.

Core duties involve conducting empathetic qualitative interviews with vulnerable community beneficiaries, navigating organizational sensitivities when presenting critical evaluation findings to leadership, and facilitating participatory learning workshops that convert evaluation findings into actionable improvements.

Primary employment opportunities exist at Innovations for Poverty Action (IPA Kenya), Amref Health Africa, World Vision Kenya, and Aga Khan Development Network (AKDN Kenya) as well as major sector organizations across Kenya.

Project Evaluator, Development Impact Specialist, Monitoring and Evaluation Analyst.

Exposure

How much of this a machine can already do, and how that was determined.

Where this rating sits

3,562 rated careers
Mean43
50
020406080100
Rated careers by exposure score
ScoreCareers
0 to 429
5 to 922
10 to 14116
15 to 19290
20 to 24542
25 to 29297
30 to 34305
35 to 39195
40 to 44253
45 to 49279
50 to 54264
55 to 59156
60 to 64101
65 to 69130
70 to 74128
75 to 79151
80 to 84163
85 to 8986
90 to 9454
95 to 991

Rated above 68% of the 3,562 careers in the catalogue, which averages 43. Inside social sciences the mean is 41, across 141 careers.

What the rating is made of

Share of recorded tasks
50%Machine
Machine does it50%
Software can already complete this work end to end.
Machine assists20%
A person still decides, but the drafting is done for them.
Person does it30%
Judgement, relationships and accountability that do not transfer.

Named task by task

Already automated

  • Automated text analysis of open ended qualitative beneficiary responses
  • Algorithmic balance checking and matching between intervention and control groups
  • Automated drafting of standard evaluation report structures and indicator matrices
  • Machine learning identification of key success factors across historic program evaluations

Still human

  • Conducting empathetic qualitative interviews with vulnerable community beneficiaries
  • Navigating organizational sensitivities when presenting critical evaluation findings to leadership
  • Facilitating participatory learning workshops that convert evaluation findings into actionable improvements
  • Evaluating subtle cultural and contextual factors that influenced program outcomes

Your skills, sorted

12 skills recorded

Being absorbed

  • Manual paper record filing
  • Routine ledger calculation
  • Basic repetitive equipment logging

Worth more with the tools

  • Diagnostic telemetry interpretation
  • Compliance schedule management
  • Resource utilization tracking

Holding their value

  • Complex hands-on technical troubleshooting
  • Emergency crisis management and physical safety interventions
  • Direct client and regulatory stakeholder negotiation

The six things it was scored on

0 to 100 each
Regulatory stakeslowers exposure
85

Where a named person has to carry the liability.

Physical presencelowers exposure
80

Work that has to happen in a place, with hands.

People and inventionlowers exposure
75

Work that needs trust, persuasion or an original idea.

Digital surfaceraises exposure
45

How much of the work already happens inside software.

Routine intensityraises exposure
40

How much of it repeats in the same shape each time.

Rule bound thinkingraises exposure
35

Decisions that follow a procedure rather than a judgement.

Task counts

Tasks recorded
20
Automatable now
3
Still human
12
Displacing
Manual paperwork processing and legacy ledger tracking,Repetitive routine data entry and transcription,Basic visual verification of standard process inputs
Augmenting
Operational metric monitoring and diagnostic anomaly flagging,Automated drafting of routine compliance logs and operational filings,Resource scheduling and preventative maintenance timing
Creating
Specialized program evaluation officer systems auditing and digital workflow supervision,Integration of predictive telemetry into daily program evaluation officer workflows,Continuous quality verification of automated domain tools

Sources

Behind the rating

Getting in

The routes into the role, credentials, and tools required.

What to study

8 courses

How people get in

  • Bachelor of Arts in Development Studies, Project Management, or Sociology

    4 yearsMedium cost

    Degree covering project lifecycle planning, social research methodologies, development theory, and community engagement.

  • Postgraduate Diploma in Monitoring and Program Evaluation

    1 yearMedium cost

    Specialized qualification focusing on evaluation methodologies, mixed methods research, and donor reporting systems.

Industry certifications

2 verified credentials
  • Executive Certificate in Impact Evaluation

    Innovations for Poverty Action / J-PAL AfricaKsh 65,0004 months

  • Certified Professional in Program Evaluation (CPPE)

    Evaluation Society of Kenya / Amref International UniversityKsh 40,0003 months

Tools of the trade

5 core toolchains
  • SurveyCTO

    Computer-Assisted Personal Interviewing & Field AuditEssentialPaid

  • Stata

    Econometric & Quasi-Experimental Impact AnalysisEssentialPaid

  • R

    Statistical Computing & Causal ModelingRecommendedFree

  • Dedoose

    Mixed-Methods Qualitative Interview CodingRecommendedPaid

  • Microsoft Excel

    Data Cleaning & Indicator TrackingEssentialPaid

Who hires

5 verified employers

Interview preparation

3 curated questions
  • How do you control for selection bias when conducting an impact evaluation of an agricultural grant program in Western Kenya where random assignment was not feasible?

    TechnicalSenior

    Discuss quasi-experimental designs: Propensity Score Matching (PSM), Difference-in-Differences (DID) with parallel trends verification, or Regression Discontinuity Design (RDD), explaining identifying assumptions, common support diagnostics, and unobserved confounding risks.

  • An implementing NGO partner refuses your evaluation team access to beneficiary rosters citing data confidentiality concerns. How do you resolve this?

    SituationalMid

    Cite grant agreement contractual evaluation clauses, execute formal Data Protection Agreements under the Kenya Data Protection Act 2019, anonymize identifying personal data, and request mediation from the donor mission director.

  • Tell us about a time an endline evaluation demonstrated that a flagship five-year program failed to yield statistically significant impact.

    BehaviouralMid

    Explain delivering the evidence with clarity and tact, analyzing implementation bottlenecks (e.g. fidelity failures, macroeconomic shocks), framing findings as critical institutional learning, and outlining actionable adjustments.

Common misconceptions

  • Program evaluation is simply another name for day-to-day project progress monitoring.

    Monitoring tracks daily activity outputs, whereas program evaluation scientifically determines attribution, causality, cost-effectiveness, and long-term systemic impact using counterfactual comparison groups.

  • Qualitative beneficiary testimonials alone are adequate to demonstrate project impact to international donors.

    Rigorous evaluation mandates robust mixed-methods research integrating statistically powered survey samples, panel data, and triangulated qualitative depth.

Professional bodies & associations

  • Evaluation Society of Kenya (ESK)
  • African Evaluation Association (AfrEA)
  • American Evaluation Association (AEA)
  • Kenya Institute of Management (KIM)

What happens next

How the role evolves from here, and where it leads.

How the role changes

2026 to 2030

The program evaluation officer profession in Kenya will retain its foundational technical and physical responsibilities while absorbing digital diagnostics that eliminate manual paperwork burdens.

  1. 2026already here

    Adoption of digital operational tracking across major Kenyan industrial facilities.

  2. 2027projected

    Mandatory integration of computerized asset management systems in county and state projects.

  3. 2028projected

    Automated compliance checks become standard in annual regulatory assessments.

  4. 2030projected

    Digital fluency becomes a universal prerequisite for certified practitioner licensing.

The near term

By 2028

Medium

Digital tooling optimizes routine documentation while core technical execution remains vital.

Tasks automated by 2028
12%
Practitioners augmented
28%
Displacement risk
5%
New roles created
8%
  • Deployment of automated sensors and digital logs in major facilities
  • Standardization of digital reporting for statutory compliance audits
  • Increased integration of mobile and cloud analytics for site operations
What to do
Acquire practical proficiency in industry digital platforms and obtain recognized statutory certifications to secure senior postings.

Market outlook

Net demand, 2026 to 2030
+15%
Demand
80 of 100
Supply pressure
45 of 100
Balance
Shortage
Driving demand
  • Expansion of national infrastructure and commercial investments under Kenya Vision 2030
  • Stringent statutory standards necessitating certified practitioners
  • Adoption of modernized operational frameworks requiring specialized technical oversight
Holding it back
  • Cyclical budgetary constraints across public and private infrastructure procurement
  • Delays in public sector payroll disbursements and promotional reviews
  • Capital expenditure limits on state of the art equipment upgrades

How to stay ahead

  • Formulate evaluation terms of reference aligned with OECD-DAC evaluation criteria (relevance, coherence, effectiveness, efficiency, impact, sustainability).

  • Calculate statistical power parameters and sample size allocations across treatment and control clusters in Stata.

  • Script mobile survey protocols in SurveyCTO with high-frequency automated data audit algorithms.

  • Supervise enumerator field teams during baseline and endline household survey sweeps across target counties.

  • Estimate causal program effects using difference-in-differences and propensity score matching algorithms.

What to learn

  • Digital operational diagnostics and telemetry systems
  • Statutory compliance reporting and occupational safety protocols
  • Data literacy and computerized maintenance management software
  • Cross-functional communication and emergency response leadership
  • Sustainable energy efficiency and green operations standards

AI tools worth knowing

  • Predictive Maintenance Telemetry

    Priority: Essential

    Anomaly detection and machinery health monitoring

  • Computerized Maintenance Management System

    Priority: Recommended

    Work order scheduling and inventory tracking

  • Digital Compliance Audit Dashboard

    Priority: Recommended

    Statutory regulatory reporting synthesis

  • Generative Technical Summarizer

    Priority: Optional

    Drafting operational handover logs

Kenyan market notes

Kenya's prominent status as the regional coordination center for global development organizations, philanthropic foundations, and bilateral donors creates robust employment opportunities for program evaluation officers. Organizations increasingly demand rigorous third party evaluation evidence to justify continued funding from overseas donors. Positions offer competitive salaries, international travel allowances, and strong professional credibility. Employment opportunities concentrate in major industrial and commercial hubs including Nairobi, Mombasa, Kisumu, and Nakuru, with expanding demand across county infrastructure initiatives. Remuneration varies considerably between commercial enterprises and public sector schemes of service, with seasoned practitioners securing competitive shift allowances and performance bonuses.

Further reading